GDP increases by 0.5%

Gross domestic product, preliminary estimate: October to December 2017 – ONS

  • UK gross domestic product (GDP) was estimated to have increased by 0.5% in Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2017, compared with 0.4% in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2017.
  • The dominant services sector, driven by business services and finance, increased by 0.6% compared with the previous quarter, although the longer-term trend continues to show a weakening in services growth.
  • Production industries grew by 0.6%, boosted by the second consecutive quarter of strong growth in manufacturing.
  • Growth in manufacturing was partially offset in total production by a significant fall in oil and gas extraction, caused by the well-publicised repair work made to the Forties pipeline.
  • Construction contracted for the third quarter in a row, although annual growth between 2016 and 2017 was very strong at 5.1%, due to a strong start to 2017.
  • GDP was estimated to have increased by 1.8% between 2016 and 2017, slightly below the 1.9% growth seen between 2015 and 2016.
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Growth Steady

Gross domestic product, preliminary estimate: Oct to Dec 2016 – ONS

  • UK gross domestic product (GDP) was estimated to have increased by 0.6% during Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2016, the same rate of growth as in the previous 2 quarters.
  • Growth during Quarter 4 was dominated by services, with a strong contribution from consumer-focused industries such as retail sales and travel agency services.
  • Following falls in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2016, construction and production provided negligible positive contributions to GDP growth in Quarter 4 2016.
  • UK GDP was estimated to have increased by 2.0% during 2016, slowing slightly from 2.2% in 2015 and from 3.1% in 2014.
  • GDP per head was estimated to have increased by 0.4% during Quarter 4 2016 and by 1.3% during 2016.

Growth at 0.5% in Q3

Gross Domestic Product, preliminary estimate: July to Sept 2016 – ONS

  • Change in gross domestic product (GDP) is the main indicator of economic growth. GDP was estimated to have increased by 0.5% in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2016 compared with growth of 0.7% in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2016.¬†GDP was 2.3% higher in Quarter 3 2016 compared with the same quarter a year ago.
  • In Quarter 3 2016, the services industries increased by 0.8%. In contrast, output decreased in the other 3 main industrial groups with construction decreasing by 1.4%, agriculture decreasing by 0.7% and production decreasing by 0.4%, within which manufacturing decreased by 1.0%.

UK growth slows

  • GDP is estimated to have increased by 0.4% in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2016 compared with growth of 0.6% in Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2015
  • Output increased in services by 0.6% in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2016. The other 3 main industrial groupings within the economy decreased, with production falling by 0.4%, construction output by 0.9% and agriculture by 0.1%
  • GDP was 2.1% higher in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2016 compared with the same quarter a year ago
  • In Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2016, GDP was estimated to have been 7.3% higher than the pre-economic downturn peak of Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2008. From the peak in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2008 to the trough in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2009, the economy shrank by 6.1%

Growth slows: 0.5%

Gross Domestic Product: Preliminary Estimate, Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2015: ONS

  • GDP is estimated to have increased by 0.5% in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2015 compared with growth of 0.7% in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015.
  • Output increased in 3 of the main industrial groupings within the economy in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2015. Services increased by 0.7%, production increased by 0.3% and agriculture increased by 0.5%. In contrast, construction growth decreased by 2.2%.
  • Within production, manufacturing fell by 0.3% but this fall was offset by a 2.4% increase in Mining¬†and Quarrying and a 1.2% increase in water and waste management.
  • GDP was 2.3% higher in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2015 compared with the same quarter a year ago.
  • In Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2015, GDP was estimated to have been 6.4% higher than the pre-economic downturn peak of Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2008. From the peak in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2008 to the trough in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2009, the economy shrank by 6.1%

Growth Q2

Second Estimate of GDP, Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015: ONS

  • UK GDP in volume terms was estimated to have increased by 0.7% between Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2015 and Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015
  • GDP was estimated to have increased by 3.0% in 2014, compared with 2013
  • Between Quarter 2 2014 and Quarter 2 2015, GDP in volume terms increased by 2.6%
  • GDP in current prices was estimated to have increased by 0.7% between Quarter 1 2015 and Quarter 2 2015
  • GDP per head in volume terms was estimated to have increased by 0.5% between Quarter 1 2015 and Quarter 2 2015
  • Between 2013 and 2014, GDP per head increased by 2.3%

Growth

Gross Domestic Product: Preliminary Estimate, Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015

  • GDP is estimated to have increased by 0.7% in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015 compared with growth of 0.4% in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2015.
  • Output increased in 2 of the main industrial groupings within the economy in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015. Services increased by 0.7% and production increased by 1.0%. Construction growth was flat. In contrast agriculture decreased by 0.7%.
  • GDP was 2.6% higher in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015 compared with the same quarter a year ago.
  • In Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015, GDP was estimated to have been 5.2% higher than the pre-economic downturn peak of Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2008. From the peak in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2008 to the trough in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2009, the economy shrank by 6.0%.